Florida & Metro Forecast Fall 2021

Page 114

P O R T S T. L U C I E

Short Term Outlook for Port St. Lucie, FL December 2021 Forecast 2021:Q4

2022:Q1

2022:Q2

2022:Q3

2022:Q4

2023:Q1

2023:Q2

2023:Q3

2023:Q4

2024:Q1

2024:Q2

2024:Q1

2024:Q2

Personal Income (Billions $) Total Personal Income Pct Chg Year Ago Wages and Salaries Nonwage Income

30.6 6.4 8.8 21.8

30.6 -7.0 8.9 21.7

31.0 0.4 9.1 22.0

31.4 2.4 9.2 22.2

31.7 3.7 9.3 22.4

32.0 4.4 9.4 22.6

32.3 4.1 9.5 22.8

32.6 3.8 9.6 23.0

33.0 4.0 9.7 23.3

33.3 4.1 9.8 23.5

33.6 3.9 9.9 23.7

33.9 3.9 10.0 23.9

34.2 3.9 10.1 24.2

Real Personal Income (12$) Pct Chg Year Ago

27.2 1.7

27.1 -10.6

27.3 -2.6

27.5 0.1

27.7 1.8

27.8 2.5

27.9 2.2

28.1 2.0

28.2 2.1

28.4 2.1

28.5 1.9

28.6 1.8

28.7 1.8

Per Capita Income (Ths) Real Per Capita Income (12$)

61.0 54.2

60.9 53.9

61.6 54.2

62.2 54.5

62.6 54.6

62.9 54.7

63.4 54.8

63.9 55.0

64.4 55.2

64.9 55.3

65.3 55.4

65.9 55.5

66.4 55.7

Average Annual Wage (Ths) Pct Chg Year Ago

54.1 4.3

54.5 4.3

54.7 2.3

54.9 1.6

55.1 2.0

55.4 1.7

55.7 1.9

56.0 2.0

56.5 2.4

56.9 2.7

57.5 3.1

58.0 3.5

58.5 3.6

Establishment Employment (Place of Work, Thousands, SA) Total Employment Pct Chg Year Ago

161.3 6.7

162.6 6.6

165.0 5.6

166.6 4.7

167.6 3.9

168.6 3.7

170.0 3.0

170.7 2.5

171.0 2.0

171.2 1.5

171.2 0.7

171.3 0.4

171.3 0.2

Manufacturing Pct Chg Year Ago

7.9 5.2

7.9 5.0

8.0 3.8

8.0 1.5

8.0 1.4

8.1 1.5

8.1 1.0

8.1 1.3

8.1 0.6

8.0 -0.3

8.0 -1.3

7.9 -2.1

7.8 -2.8

Nonmanufacturing Pct Chg Year Ago

153.4 6.8

154.7 6.7

157.0 5.6

158.6 4.8

159.6 4.0

160.5 3.8

161.9 3.1

162.6 2.5

162.9 2.1

163.1 1.6

163.2 0.8

163.3 0.5

163.5 0.3

Construction & Mining Pct Chg Year Ago

13.5 8.9

13.5 5.9

13.5 3.6

13.4 -0.5

13.4 -0.4

13.4 -0.8

13.3 -1.0

13.2 -1.5

13.1 -2.0

13.0 -2.7

13.0 -2.8

12.9 -2.6

12.9 -2.2

Trade, Trans, & Utilities Pct Chg Year Ago

31.3 1.5

30.8 1.0

30.6 0.6

30.6 -0.9

30.1 -4.1

29.9 -2.9

30.4 -0.9

30.2 -1.1

30.2 0.4

29.9 0.0

29.2 -3.7

29.0 -4.1

28.9 -4.3

Wholesale Trade Retail Trade Trans, Wrhsng, & Util

5.0 20.8 5.5

5.0 20.3 5.5

5.1 20.0 5.5

5.2 19.7 5.6

5.3 19.2 5.6

5.4 18.9 5.6

5.4 19.4 5.5

5.5 19.3 5.5

5.5 19.2 5.5

5.6 18.8 5.5

5.7 17.9 5.6

5.8 17.6 5.6

5.8 17.4 5.6

Information Pct Chg Year Ago

1.3 31.9

1.3 31.1

1.3 12.6

1.3 -1.6

1.3 -3.0

1.3 -1.5

1.3 0.2

1.3 1.1

1.4 4.7

1.4 5.5

1.4 5.6

1.4 4.2

1.4 1.7

Financial Activities Pct Chg Year Ago

6.3 5.8

6.4 6.3

6.5 9.4

6.7 7.4

6.7 6.9

6.8 7.0

6.8 4.6

6.9 3.0

6.9 3.1

7.0 2.3

7.0 3.0

7.1 2.9

7.1 2.5

Prof & Business Services Pct Chg Year Ago

25.0 14.9

25.9 14.7

26.6 11.0

27.1 9.8

27.4 9.7

27.9 7.8

27.8 4.6

27.9 3.0

28.1 2.4

28.4 1.9

28.7 3.0

28.8 3.3

28.9 2.9

Educ & Health Services Pct Chg Year Ago

28.6 3.1

29.1 5.1

29.9 7.7

30.1 6.6

29.9 4.8

30.0 3.2

29.9 0.1

29.9 -0.7

30.0 0.2

30.3 0.8

30.5 2.0

30.8 3.0

31.0 3.4

Leisure & Hospitality Pct Chg Year Ago

20.4 14.5

20.4 11.2

20.6 2.1

20.9 5.1

22.1 7.9

22.4 10.0

23.4 13.4

24.0 15.0

24.1 9.2

23.9 6.8

23.9 2.4

23.8 -1.0

23.7 -1.8

7.9 7.1

8.0 8.1

8.4 10.4

8.7 13.9

8.8 11.6

8.8 9.6

8.8 4.4

8.8 0.9

8.8 0.6

8.9 0.9

9.0 2.4

9.1 3.1

9.1 3.6

Federal Government Pct Chg Year Ago

1.0 -8.5

1.0 -3.6

1.0 0.9

1.0 7.3

1.0 5.3

1.0 4.3

1.0 2.9

1.0 1.6

1.0 0.2

1.0 -0.6

1.0 -1.1

1.0 -1.4

1.0 -1.4

State & Local Government Pct Chg Year Ago

18.2 2.1

18.3 3.5

18.5 6.0

18.7 4.4

18.9 4.0

19.0 3.7

19.1 3.2

19.2 2.7

19.3 2.3

19.4 1.9

19.4 1.7

19.5 1.3

19.5 1.2

Population (Ths) Pct Chg Year Ago

501.4 1.5

502.8 1.5

503.9 1.3

504.9 1.0

506.3 1.0

507.9 1.0

509.5 1.1

510.8 1.2

511.7 1.1

512.6 0.9

513.6 0.8

514.7 0.8

515.9 0.8

Labor Force (Ths) Pct Chg Year Ago

234.5 8.7

236.7 7.4

238.1 5.5

239.2 3.2

239.7 2.2

240.0 1.4

240.2 0.9

240.2 0.4

240.0 0.2

239.7 -0.1

239.8 -0.2

239.9 -0.1

240.1 0.0

4.8

4.8

4.8

4.7

4.6

4.5

4.5

4.6

4.7

4.5

4.6

4.6

4.4

6401.3 5129.9 1271.4

5756.6 4636.0 1120.5

5159.2 4226.4 932.7

4747.0 3885.0 862.0

4457.4 3659.0 798.4

4236.5 3463.3 773.2

4075.7 3331.6 744.2

4097.4 3300.0 797.4

4065.2 3265.3 799.9

3964.2 3162.5 801.7

3888.0 3100.7 787.3

3874.2 3095.9 778.3

3813.7 3051.6 762.1

Other Services Pct Chg Year Ago

Other Economic Indicators

Unemployment Rate (%) Total Housing Starts Single-Family Multifamily

114

Florida & Metro Forecast / Fall 2021


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