Florida & Metro Forecast 2021 Quarter 2

Page 84

N O R T H P O R T - S A R A S OTA - B R A D E N TO N

Short Term Outlook for North Port-Sarasota-Bradenton, FL July 2021 2021:Q2 2021:Q3 2021:Q4 2022:Q1 2022:Q2 2022:Q3 2022:Q4 2023:Q1 2023:Q2 2023:Q3 2023:Q4 2024:Q1 2024:Q2

Personal Income (Billions $) Total Personal Income Pct Chg Year Ago Wages and Salaries Nonwage Income

55.9 2.7 17.7 38.2

55.2 3.4 18.1 37.1

54.8 4.9 18.5 36.3

55.5 -7.9 18.6 36.9

56.1 0.4 18.8 37.4

56.7 2.7 18.9 37.8

57.1 4.3 19.1 38.0

57.6 3.7 19.3 38.3

58.2 3.7 19.6 38.6

58.8 3.8 19.8 39.0

59.5 4.1 20.0 39.5

60.2 4.6 20.2 40.0

60.9 4.7 20.5 40.5

Real Personal Income (12$) Pct Chg Year Ago

49.2 -0.1

48.4 0.9

47.9 2.4

48.3 -9.7

48.7 -1.1

48.9 1.0

49.1 2.7

49.3 2.0

49.6 1.9

49.9 1.9

50.2 2.1

50.6 2.6

50.9 2.7

Per Capita Income (Ths) Real Per Capita Income (12$)

64.3 56.6

63.3 55.5

62.6 54.7

63.2 55.0

63.7 55.2

64.1 55.3

64.4 55.4

64.7 55.4

65.2 55.5

65.7 55.7

66.2 55.9

66.9 56.1

67.4 56.3

Average Annual Wage (Ths) Pct Chg Year Ago

56.5 5.9

56.4 3.4

56.6 2.2

56.7 1.1

57.0 0.8

57.3 1.4

57.6 1.8

58.1 2.5

58.6 2.8

59.0 3.1

59.5 3.3

60.0 3.4

60.6 3.5

Establishment Employment (Place of Work, Thousands, SA) Total Employment Pct Chg Year Ago

311.3 9.9

319.9 7.2

324.9 7.5

326.9 7.4

328.0 5.4

328.8 2.8

330.4 1.7

331.4 1.4

332.7 1.4

333.7 1.5

334.7 1.3

335.5 1.2

336.3 1.1

Manufacturing Pct Chg Year Ago

16.7 6.3

16.8 5.0

16.9 2.5

16.9 1.6

16.9 1.5

16.9 0.4

16.9 0.1

16.9 -0.1

16.9 -0.2

16.8 -0.3

16.8 -0.5

16.8 -0.8

16.7 -1.0

Nonmanufacturing Pct Chg Year Ago

294.6 10.1

303.1 7.4

308.1 7.8

310.0 7.7

311.0 5.6

311.9 2.9

313.5 1.8

314.5 1.5

315.8 1.5

316.9 1.6

317.9 1.4

318.8 1.3

319.6 1.2

Construction & Mining Pct Chg Year Ago

27.5 5.4

27.9 4.8

28.1 3.1

28.2 3.4

28.3 3.0

28.3 1.6

28.4 1.0

28.3 0.6

28.4 0.3

28.4 0.3

28.4 0.3

28.5 0.5

28.5 0.4

Trade, Trans, & Utilities Pct Chg Year Ago

60.3 9.1

61.5 6.0

61.6 5.6

60.7 2.2

59.9 -0.6

59.6 -3.2

58.4 -5.1

58.0 -4.5

58.8 -1.9

58.4 -2.0

58.3 -0.3

57.6 -0.7

56.7 -3.5

Wholesale Trade Retail Trade Trans, Wrhsng, & Util

8.8 44.3 7.2

8.8 45.3 7.4

8.9 45.2 7.5

9.0 44.1 7.6

9.1 43.2 7.6

9.5 42.2 7.8

9.7 40.9 7.8

9.8 40.3 7.9

9.8 41.1 7.9

9.8 40.7 7.9

9.8 40.5 7.9

9.9 39.7 7.9

10.0 38.7 8.0

Information Pct Chg Year Ago

3.5 1.7

3.5 1.7

3.6 0.6

3.7 5.9

3.7 6.0

3.7 6.3

3.7 4.2

3.7 1.8

3.8 2.6

3.8 1.5

3.8 3.1

3.9 3.7

3.9 3.9

Financial Activities Pct Chg Year Ago

15.7 3.1

15.9 2.0

16.0 2.3

16.1 3.2

16.4 4.7

16.7 5.0

16.7 4.6

16.8 3.9

16.7 1.5

16.6 -0.4

16.7 -0.3

16.7 -0.4

16.8 0.8

Prof & Business Services Pct Chg Year Ago

46.6 11.9

48.0 11.5

49.7 13.9

51.8 11.9

52.1 11.9

51.7 7.7

52.0 4.6

52.5 1.4

52.6 0.9

52.9 2.2

53.2 2.4

53.8 2.4

54.5 3.6

Educ & Health Services Pct Chg Year Ago

56.7 6.1

57.6 5.2

58.1 3.6

57.8 3.2

59.2 4.5

59.6 3.5

59.4 2.2

59.5 2.9

59.3 0.1

59.4 -0.4

59.5 0.2

59.8 0.5

60.0 1.1

Leisure & Hospitality Pct Chg Year Ago

42.3 32.7

45.6 19.3

47.1 19.8

47.1 24.3

46.3 9.2

46.6 2.2

49.1 4.4

49.7 5.7

50.4 8.9

51.5 10.4

52.1 6.0

52.5 5.5

52.9 5.0

Other Services Pct Chg Year Ago

14.5 14.0

15.0 6.8

15.5 10.5

15.9 12.3

16.3 12.0

16.6 10.6

16.6 7.2

16.7 4.9

16.6 1.8

16.5 -0.4

16.5 -0.5

16.6 -0.4

16.7 0.9

2.1 5.0

2.1 -12.2

2.1 -3.0

2.1 -0.6

2.1 -1.0

2.0 -1.3

2.0 -1.4

2.0 -1.1

2.0 -0.5

2.0 -0.1

2.0 0.4

2.1 0.5

2.1 0.4

25.5 -2.0

25.9 -1.1

26.4 2.4

26.6 4.5

26.8 5.1

27.0 4.2

27.1 2.7

27.2 2.3

27.3 1.9

27.3 1.3

27.4 1.0

27.4 0.7

27.5 0.6

Population (Ths) Pct Chg Year Ago

868.6 1.6

872.1 1.6

875.4 1.6

878.4 1.5

881.4 1.5

884.3 1.4

887.2 1.3

890.2 1.3

892.9 1.3

895.6 1.3

898.4 1.3

901.1 1.2

903.9 1.2

Labor Force (Ths) Pct Chg Year Ago

369.9 10.2

376.0 7.4

378.6 6.0

381.2 4.3

383.4 3.6

386.4 2.8

388.5 2.6

390.2 2.3

392.0 2.2

393.7 1.9

395.2 1.7

396.6 1.7

398.1 1.6

4.0

3.9

3.4

3.4

3.4

3.3

3.3

3.2

3.2

3.2

3.2

3.1

3.1

11552.4 10873.2 10352.0 10446.6 9637.8 8937.7 1105.8 1235.4 1414.3

9816.9 8248.4 1568.5

9315.7 7667.5 1648.1

8883.3 7211.5 1671.8

8543.3 6901.9 1641.4

8269.8 6690.2 1579.6

8071.9 6524.5 1547.4

8024.7 6476.4 1548.3

8090.7 6535.2 1555.5

8083.2 6519.4 1563.8

8041.3 6482.1 1559.2

Federal Government Pct Chg Year Ago State & Local Government Pct Chg Year Ago Other Economic Indicators

Unemployment Rate (%) Total Housing Starts Single-Family Multifamily

84

Florida & Metro Forecast / July 2021


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Florida & Metro Forecast 2021 Quarter 2 by UCF College of Business - Issuu